Thursday, July 8, 2021

Issue # 8.2.4 "If at First You Don't Succeed..." (7/8)

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Thursday, July 8, 2021 - Issue # 8.2.4 "If at First You Don't Succeed..." - [Dailies: July 6-7]

THIRD TIME NOT THE CHARM FOR SPAIN; ENGLAND REBOUNDS FOR WIN
Footballsack
 in the lead and wins with ENG; otherwise, Gli Azzurri wins pool

ENG vs ITA in Major TouranmentsCLEANING THE YARD AT HOME, CA (smt) - Major soccer teams will once again grace the final although one has had much more success than the other with 1A-Italy's five major titles (4 WC, 1 Euro) to 1D-England's lone '66 WC title.  ITA is making its 10th major Final (6 WC, 4 Euros) while this is just ENG's second major final ('66).  But soccer's origins are associated with ENG and having the best domestic league, but yet no titles to show for it.  Will the trophy be "coming home" or will English fans once again drown their sorrows in beer again.

Once again 2E-Spain had 62%+ possession (6th straight), once again the match went to Extra Time (3rd straight), and once again the match with to the penalty shootout (2nd straight).  ESP had survived them all but not today.  ITA failed on their first attempt (ESP opponents had missed 4 straight PSO kicks, 3 saved) but if at first you don't succeed, the next four went in, including a very cheeky fake out of the GK who moved to Jorginho's left and Jorginho calmly slid a slow ball to the right corner for the victory.  The 1:1 (4:2 PSO) victory was technically

a draw which snapped ITA's 13-match win streak.

2B-Denmark scored in the 30' on the tourney's first direct free kick goal (from 25 yards) which was also the first goal ENG had allowed in the tournament.  But less than 10 minutes later, ENG benefited on the tourney's 11th own goal to tie it at 1.  ENG started to attack more, such that for the match, their 10 shots on goal was 67% of their combined previous 5 matches (15) and the attacking paid off by getting a soft penalty call (despite 2 balls on the field).  As has been the tourney's story, Harry Kane missed the penalty, but of all the great saves DEN's GK had, this was bounced back to Kane, and if at first you don't succeed... ENG held on for a 2-1 win.

Two (Footballsack (1st, 115) and Gli Azzurri (2nd-T, 110)) got both finalists correct while 27 got none.  19 had ENG and 5 had ITA making the finals.  Footballsack has now is taken the lead and is guaranteed 1st or 2nd.  Gli Azzurri can win the pool if Italy wins but is shut out if they don't.  Avenger #3 (2nd-T, 110) will finish either 2nd or 3rd.  The other two spots are up for grabs.  The tiebreaker won't be in play for the money spots but for the other positions, the total goals stands at 5 with one match left.  The final two scenarios are:

If ITALY beats ENGLAND in Final…
         Gli Azzurri 122 points 
        Footballsack 115 
          Avenger #3 110 
    FrankfromSeattle 108 
If ENGLAND beats ITALY in Final…
        Footballsack 127 points 
          Avenger #3 122 
              Slyelf 116 
             Fantasy 115  

[Twitter]We are now on Twitter (@HWCI_Pools) and Discord for discussion or questions.  Please follow!  I will post using #hwcincaa mini-updates during the day so you can follow without being on Twitter (and if you are, please use #hwcincaa).  Please join our Facebook HWCI Soccer Pool Group or post comments on our blog

I'll be doing daily matchday updates on our Blog and re-posted on Twitter.  These updates will be every few days and emailed out.  Everyone can view their pick and bracket by clicking the "Pick" link in the standings next to their nickname or the picks page. If you want to know who everyone is, the Who's Who in the Pool is now available.

   Ins & Outs -  Goals (50 matches): 140 (2.80/match) [Own11 (1-TURvITA 53' {gw}, 10-POLvSVK 18', 12-GERvFRA 20' {gw}, 24-PORvGER 35', 24-PORvGER 39' {2}, 28-FINvBEL 74' {gw}, 33-SVKvESP 30' {gw}, 33-SVKvESP 71' {2} | 42-ESPvCRO 20', 45-SUIvESP 8', 50-DENvENG 39'), Subs16 (4-BEL 27', 6-AUT 78' {gw}, 6-AUT 89' (2), 16-BEL 70' {gw} (2), 33-ESP 67', 36-GER 84' {gt} | 37-ITA 95', 37-ITA 105' {gw} (2), 37-AUT 114' (3), 42-CRO 85', 42-CRO 90'+2 {gt} (2), 42-ESP 114' (2), 41-SUI 90' {gt}, 43-UKR 120'+1 {gw}, 48-ENG 63', 49-ESP 80' {gt}), 90+/120+6 (11-POR +2, 13-WAL +5, 34-SWE +4 {gw} | 38-DEN +4, 42-CRO +2 {gt}, 43-UKR +1 (ET) {gw}), Extra Time7 (37-ITA 95', 37-ITA 105' (2) {gw}, 37-AUT 114', 42-ESP 100' {gw}, 42-ESP 103' (2), 43-UKR 120'+1 {gw}, 50-ENG 104' {gw}]... Scoring First35-4-9 [2 Nil-Nil ties (9-ESPvSWE, 20-ENGvSCO | -); 16-DEN, 24-POR | 42-CRO, 50-DEN]... Leading at Half: 23-1-6 (20 ties; 16-DEN | -)... Shutout27 [1-TUR, 2-DEN, 4-RUS, 7-CRO, 8-SCO, 9-ESP, 9-SWE, 11-HUN, 12-GER, 15-FIN, 13-TUR (2), 14-SUI, 17-AUT, 21-SVK, 20-ENG, 20-SCO (2), 26-WAL, 29-MKD, 30-UKR, 28-FIN (2), 32-CZE, 33-SVK (2) | 38-WAL, 40-NED, 39-POR, 44-GER (2), 48-UKR (2)]... PK9/17 [3-den (s) 74', 11-POR 87', 14-wal (h) 61', 18-mkd (s) 57', 18-ukr (s) 84', 17-NED 11', 21-SWE 77', 19-CZE, 22-esp (p) 58', 27-RUS 70', 33-esp (s) 12' {2}, 35-POR 31' {2}, 35-FRA 45'+2, 35-POR 60' {3} | 41-sui (s) 55', 46-BEL 45'+2, 50-eng (s) 104']... Extra Time[37-ITAvAUT 2:1 (0:0), 42-CROvESP 3:5 (3:3), 41-FRAvSUI 3:3 (3:3), 43-SWEvUKR 2:1 (1:1), 45-SUI{2}vESP{2} 1:1 (1:1), 49-ITA{2}vESP{3} 1:1 (1:1), 50-ENGvDEN 2:1 (1:1)]... PSO: 3 [41-SUI:FRA 5:4 (5.0 {GGGGG:GGGGs}), 43-ESP:SUI{2} 3:1 (4.5 {pGsGG:Gssh}), 49-ITA:ESP{2} 4:2 (4.5 {sGGGG:hGGs})]... Red Card (GF/GA)6 (10-POL 2Y (0/1) 62', 26-WAL R (0/0) 55' | 38-WAL R (0/1) 90' {2}, 40-NED R (0/2) 52', 43-SWE R (0/1) 98', 45-SUI R (0/0) 77')... Multiple Goals14 [Lukaku 2 (4-BEL), Schick 2 (8-CZE), Ronaldo 2 (11-POR), Locatelli 2 (14-ITA), Shaqiri 2 (25-SUI), Wijnaldum 2 (29-NED), Forsberg 2 (34-SWE), Lewandowski 2 (34-POL), Benzema 2 (35-FRA), Ronaldo 2 (35-POR) {2} | Dolberg 2 (38-DEN), Benzema 2 (41-FRA), Seferovic 2 (41-SUI), Kane 2 (48-ENG)]... Zero SOG (Shots)5 [1-TUR (3), 9-SWE (4), 21-SVK (10), 33-SVK (3) {2} | 40-NED (7)]... Goal Line Tech(42-CRO 85')... VAR (-Reversal(Taken Away), +Reversal(Added), =Confirmed, xNo Call)18 [3-SUI xOff+{g-} 85', 12-FRA xOff+{g-} 85', 15-FIN xOff+{g-} 3', 14-ITA xHB+{g-} 19', 18-MKD xHB+{pk+DEN} 80', 17-AUT xFoul+{pk+NED} 8', 19-CRO xFoul+{pk+CZE} 33', 22-ESP Off-{g+} 25', 22-POL xFoul+{pk+ESP} 55', 28-BEL xOff+{g-} 65', 33-SVK xFoul+{pk+ESP} 9', 35-FRA Off-{g+} 47' | 38-DEN Off-{g+} 90'+4, 37-AUT xOff+{g-} 65', 40-NED Y-{R+} 52', 41-FRA xFoul+{pk+SUI} 52', 43-SWE Y-{R+} 98', 46-ITA xOff+{g-} 13']... 63%+ Poss11 [3-DENvFIN (64) L, 5-NEDvUKR (63) W, 9-ESPvSWE (75) D, 11-PORvHUN (65) W, 22-ESPvPOL (69) D {2}, 26-ITAvWAL (64) W, 31-CROvSCO (64) W, 36-GERvHUN (70) | 42-ESPvCRO (64) W {3}, 45-ESPvSUI (66) D(W) {4}, 49-ESPvITA (65) D(L) {5}]... 20+ Shots (S/SOG/G):  11 [1-ITAvTUR (24/8/2+og)) W, 3-DENvFIN (23/6/0) L, 16-DENvBEL (22/6/1) L {2}, 25-SUIvTUR (23/10/3) W, 26-ITAvWAL (23/6/1) W {2} | 37-ITAvAUT (27/6/2) {3}, 39-POR (24/5/0) L, 42-ESP (23/10/5) W, 41-FRA (26/8/3) D(L), 45-ESP (27/10/0+og) {2} D(L), 50-ENG (21/10/1+og) W]... Breaks (>30 min)1 [3-DENvFIN (Injury) 43' (90 min) | -]... Home Teams: 15-7-4 [3-DEN, 4-RUS, 8-SCO, 11-HUN, 12-GER, 16-DEN (2), 31-SCO (2) | -]... Match Order of Play: [ 1 | 2-3-4 | 7-6-5 | 8-10-9 | 11-12 | 15-13-14 | 18-16-17 | 21-19-20 | 23-24-22 | 25/26 | 29/30-27/28 | 31/32 | 33/34-35/36 ] [ 38-37 | 40-39 | 42-41 | 44-43 ][ 45-46 | 47-48 ] [ 49 | 50 ] [ 51 ]...

   Group Standings (3-24):

 # Gp Tm  W-L-D Pt   GD GF  Gp Stage Head-to-Head [=Tie/1st/2nd/3rd] {DP}
--------------------------- ---------------------------------------------
   1A ITA 5-0-1 16 ( +9 12)
   1D ENG 5-0-1 16 ( +9 10)
---
 3 2E ESP 2-0-4 10 ( +7 13)
 4 2B DEN 3-3-0  9 ( +5 12) [1-1-0 (+2 4)] FIN-RUS [1]
---
 5 1B BEL 4-1-0 12 ( +6  9)
 6 3D CZE 2-2-1  7 ( +2  6) [0-0-1 ( 0 1)] CRO [=] (GF 3) [2]
 7 3A SUI 1-1-3  6 ( -1  8) [0-0-1 ( 0 1)] WAL [=] (GD -1) [2]
 8 3C UKR 2-3-0  6 ( -4  6)
---
 9 1C NED 3-1-0  9 ( +4  8)
10 1E SWE 2-1-1  7 ( +1  5)
11 1F FRA 1-0-3  6 ( +1  7)
12 2C AUT 2-2-0  6 (  0  5)
13 3F POR 1-2-1  4 (  0  7) [0-1-0 (-2 2)] GER [2]
14 2D CRO 1-2-1  4 ( -1  7) [0-0-1 ( 0 1)] CZE [=] (GF 4) [1]
15 2F GER 1-2-1  4 ( -1  6) [1-0-0 (+2 4)] POR [1]
16 2A WAL 1-2-1  4 ( -3  3) [0-0-1 ( 0 1)] SUI [=] (GD +1) [1]
---
17 3B FIN 1-2-0  3 ( -2  1) [1-1-0 ( 0 1)] DEN-RUS [2]
18 4B RUS 1-2-0  3 ( -5  2) [1-1-0 (-2 2)] DEN-FIN [3] {5}
19 3E SVK 1-2-0  3 ( -5  2) {6}
20 4F HUN 0-1-2  2 ( -3  3)
21 4E POL 0-2-1  1 ( -2  4)
22 4D SCO 0-2-1  1 ( -4  1)
23 4C MKD 0-3-0  0 ( -6  2)
24 4A TUR 0-3-0  0 ( -7  1)

   Bits 'n Bobs -  ESP had 65% possession, their 5th match with 63%+... ESP played its 3rd straight Extra Time match and 2nd straight PSO... ESP is 6-0-8 in their last 14 matches... ESP lost the semifinal for the first time (4-1)... ITA is 27-0-6 in last 33 matches (last loss Sept 2018 vPOR), a national record... ITA win streak was snapped at 13... including Euro qualifying, ITA's record win streak was snapped at 15... DEN had just 6 shots after averaging 18.0/match... ENG finally allowed a goal in the tourney in the 30' (692 min shutout streak snapped in last 9 matches)... ENG is 4-0-1 at home in London in this tourney... 140 goals (2.80/match) (with 1 match left) smashes previous record of 108 in '16 (best goals/match is 2.74 in '00)... the 11 own goals are more than the combined total of all previous Euro tourneys (9)... entries averaged 0.49 wins for SF matches... great golazos as 17 have been scored outside the box... DEN's strike was the first direct free kick goal of the tourney... of the 28 teams that played in the knockout round, just 5 were shut out... half the knockout round matches went to Extra Time (7 of 14)... Avenger #3 is tied for 2nd but can't win the pool while Gli Azzurri is tied for 2nd but can win the pool... my Glory to the Heroes is tied for 7th but is eliminated while Fantasy is 6th but can still finish 4th... Rich-inho (27th-T, 86) lost ESP as his champ...

On Tuesday, ITA was picked by 5 and eliminated Rich-inho and Carseroni (11th-T, 96) (9 left) and 3 who can't win the pool (2 left)... on Wednesday, ENG was picked by 19 and eliminated 3 (6 left); same two can win pool...

...Try, try again!  Wish I could have picked my bracket differently...

Scott


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