Monday, June 14, 2021

54-Yard Bullseye (6/14)

A pair of teams ranked in the 40s played each other with D4-Czech Rep (#40) getting the better of home side D3-Scotland (#44) thanks to two great goals from Patrik Schick, including his 54-yard bending strike just over the running GK's head for the final score of 2-0.  Why SCO's GK was near the midfield circle is puzzling, but his desperate run backwards and falling and getting tangled into the net will be meme'd everywhere.

Schick's goal reminded me of USWMT's Carli Lloyd's midfield bomb in the WWC15 final or Zlatan's first goal with the Galaxy.  But Carli's had plenty of margin bouncing into the goal while Schick's strike just barely fit between the GK's hands and crossbar.  And to think we had golazos just yesterday from C3-Austria and C2-Ukraine.

More drama as E4-Slovakia got an own goal off the GK's back and after going up a man, the game-winner in the 69' to beat E3-Poland, 2-1.  POL's Robert Lewandowski had 5 shots but none on goal.  Each team had more than 10 shots (POL 17, SVK 11) but momentum changed when POL picked up a red card on a second yellow (unfortunately, the first yellow was very soft but the second was deserved) in the 62'.  

Like WC18, E1-Spain again dominated possession but lacked finishing as E2-Sweden held on with just 25% possession in the scoreless draw.  In WC18, three times ESP had 63% or more possession and came out it with just a 1-0 win (over Iran, no less), a draw, and another draw that led to a loss in the penalty shootout.  SWE was without an official shot on goal but had one chance that was cleared off the line by a Spanish defender, off the right post, and into the waiting arms of the GK.

ESP's draw meant home teams are just 3-3-1 with F1-Hungary and F4-Germany playing at home tomorrow.

In our closest pick of the pool, 18 picked CZE (15 SCO, 16 ties), no one picked SVK (43 had POL), and just 8 picked the ESP-SWE tie.  The unexpected results scrambled up the standings with Club Med now alone in first with 7 points after 10 matches. 11 others have 6 points while Isayoldchap remains at 2 pts.  3 went 2-1 while 26 went 0-3.


Sunday, June 13, 2021

"It's Coming Home" off to a Great Start (6/13)

D1-England came out strong and were finally rewarded in the 2nd half to win their first Euro opening match ever (was 0-3-5), 1-0, over D2-Croatia, the team they lost to in the semifinals in WC18.  "It's Coming Home" is back again, just maybe not in pubs.  Both teams now get to play their remaining two games against teams ranked in the 40s so both are still in good shape.

Lowly C4-North Macedonia played C3-Austria tight - opportunistically tying the match midway through the first half, but two late scores by two subs gave AUT the 3-1 win.  Although MKD is ranked #62, they did beat Germany in a World Cup qualifier in Duisburg and have scored in 15 of their last 16 international matches.  AUT's Stefan Lainer had a golazo in the 18' leaping high on a long cross to hit it into the far post. 

After yet another scoreless first half (5th of 7 matches), home team C1-Netherlands exploded for two goals in 7 minutes but then C2-Ukraine answered back with 2 goals in 4 minutes to tie it at 2.  But six minutes later in the 85', NED retook the lead and held on for a thrilling 3-2 victory.

In the pool, 34 picked ENG, 40 AUT, and 42 barely got NED.  23 went 3-0 while 5 went 1-2.  This left just three at the top of the standings (Club Med, Futbol Fabone Twelf, and Poolraider) with 6 points.  Isayoldchap is still last with 2 points.  

Saturday, June 12, 2021

Scare in Copenhagen (6/12)

B1-Denmark's Christian Eriksen collapsed in the 43' and needed CPR in a scary scene as the home crowd stood in silence.  The match was suspended of course but then resumed (of course not... wait, they did, about 90 minutes later) at the request of the players (and a stable and awake Eriksen).  B2-Finland, making their first major tournament, converted their only shot of the match on a cross to upset DEN 1-0.  DEN came out flat (as expected) and missed a game-tying penalty.  DEN, #10 in the world, now faces the top team in the world, B3-Belgium, who also won on the road dispatching B4-Russia, 3-0.

In the early match, A4-Switzerland eased off the pedal after going up 1-0 and A3-Wales took advantage gaining a 1-1 tie.  The first three matches of Euro 2020 were scoreless at the half but none ended up as nil-nil draws.  

All 49 entries picked DEN (the only match that was unanimous), which means no one got the point.  12 picked a tie between WAL-SUI and 45 picked BEL.  Eleven (11) are tied for first with 3 points while Isayoldchap has no points.  

Friday, June 11, 2021

Dailies # 1 - Worth the Wait

After a one-year delay, 364 days to be precise, Euro 2020 in 2021 kicked off in front of a sold-out limited capacity crowd of 12,916 in Rome's Stadio Olimpico.  The unique thing about this Euro is that 9 countries will get to play at least two group matches in front of their home crowd.  

The home 2A-Italian team didn't disappoint though they would have to wait until the second half to explode for three goals in a 3-0 drubbing of 1A-Turkey.  Hard to believe it was the first time ITA scored more than 2 goals at a Euro match and the dam was only broken by an own goal in the 53'.  TUR had no shots in the first half and just three for the match (none on goal) while ITA peppered them with 24.  Not only is TUR in a hole with a -3 goal differential but they picked up two late yellow cards as well.

This is the first Euro with VAR, and while you could make an argument ITA should have gotten a PK late in the 1st half, if the consistency is that in a normal running motion, if the player isn't intentionally making himself bigger, there is no PK call, then I'm fine with that.  It sets a precedent but if VAR starts becoming inconsistent, that's when we'll run into controversy.  

For our 3rd HWCI EURO pool, we got a record 49 entries, which even tops our highest Women's World Cup (44 in '19) and is our fourth-highest soccer pool ever (behind World Cups '18's 79, '14's 75, and '10's 66).  France and Belgium are clear favorites with England in the mix.

You can view everyone's picks ("Picks" on the top menu) and by tomorrow will have the Who's Who, Choice Distribution, and other information up.  43 of 49 picked ITA (boy, I thought TUR was a dark horse but they folded big-time).

Admin Picks!

 Okay, so I have submitted two entries:

Explanations for why the nicknames forthcoming...  Good luck!  We have at least 45 entries... kickoff is minutes away!

Edit for Explanations:  This is the 12th HWCI soccer pool and since this is played across Europe instead of one host country, I picked an older language for Twelve, one where the semifinals and final will be held in England, in this case, Old English ("Twelf"), which means "two left over after ten".  Turns out 12 has more dividable (thus, desirable) properties over 10, believe it or not.

Russia was upset with Ukraine's new jerseys, which dropped just five days ago, as it has an outline of the country, including the part Russia annexed.  But since it is the UN-recognized border, UKR gets to keep the outline.

There are also two innocent phrases that individually are fine but when combined, become the rallying cry of Ukraine during the annexation.  We get this drilled into us at work, where unclassified + unclassified can be classified.  Or if you apply it to spoilers, one post may say "Luke and Vader get into an interesting conservation" which is fine, and one post may say "One reveals a family secret", which is fine, but put them both together and connecting the dots, "The Empire Strikes Back" gets spoiled for someone.

So "Glory to Ukraine" is cool and if another country had "Glory to the Heroes" that would be neat, but put them both on a Ukraine jersey, it's a political reference, and both Russians and Ukrainians will know what you are really talking about.  So "Glory to the Heroes" is to be nixed on the jersey but it survives as my nickname on my second entry!


Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Classic USA-MEX match & Other Friendlies

WORK FROM HOME -- It was not surprising that the USA won a meaningless match against MEX (they sometimes do, and no, the Nations Cup trophy is not worth playing for, as evident by players MEX did not call up) since this does not lead to, for example WC qualifying or a Confederations Cup berth.  But, oh what a match it was.  Of course, a typical USA misplay led to a MEX goal barely 70 seconds in and a near death blow when they went up 2-0.  Except they didn't, VAR rules offsides and minutes later, USA scored off a corner kick to tie it at 1.  Boy, nearly every one of USA's 6 corners resulted in a great header, most on goal, something that rarely happens in soccer.  It was like a free scoring opportunity every time.  When MEX went up late, USA tied it again three minutes later (yeah, off a corner).  

Then VAR ruled PKs twice in the second half of Extra Time, one for USA (where Christian Pulisic nailed the PK) and one for MEX (where backup GK Ethan Horvath came up big with a save).  That gave the final USA 3, MEX 2.  But let's not forget

Sunday, June 6, 2021

FFB-5.1 "CONTENDERS, PRETENDERS, and DARK HORSES: EURO 2020" (6/4)

 

June 4, 2021 
FFB-5.1 "CONTENDERS, PRETENDERS, and DARK HORSES: EURO 2020"

by Eric Foster


CONTENDERS, PRETENDERS, and DARK HORSES:  EURO 2020

 Who Will Exceed and Fall Short of Expectations?

Readers be warned, the views I’m about to inflict upon you are skewed, formulated by a huge soccer fan who cancelled his cable plan in 2020, almost exclusively following top European players in the English Premier League thru Barclay’s Fantasy Football.  Furthermore, the rest of the insight expressed herein originate from dated impressions made during World Cup 2018!

When I compared the odds (based on betMGM) for teams to win the Euro 2020 (oddly not renamed Euro 2021) with FIFA rankings and Power Rankings (The Athletes Hub), I scratched my head.  Recent team playing form aside, there are definitely some underrated and overrated teams.  These disparities made me rethink which of the top teams in the Euro 2020 are Contenders, just Pretenders, or Dark Horses that may surprise us!  I’ve listed these teams in descending order of my own personal rankings of their chances to win the tournament.

1) BELGIUM

Power Ranking:  3rd

FIFA Europe Ranking:  1st 

Odds to Win: +550

Verdict:  CONTENDER! 

Some bookmakers had Belgium level with France, or at least better than England…and they may have slipped after Kevin De Bruyne broke his face in the UEFA Championship game.  The Phantom of the EurOpera should be ready to make an appearance with a protective face mask.  He won’t let down his teammates!

Saturday, May 29, 2021

Issue # 1.0.1 "The 2021 HWCI Euro 2020 Pool... or Something Like That" (5/29)

Archive

Saturday, May 29, 2021 

EURO 2020 REBOOTS IN 2021 IN 11 CITIES

After a one year delay, our 3rd Euro pool kicks off with a deadline June 11th

Wembley StadiumSANTA BARBARA, CA (smt)- After the pandemic postponed Euro 2020, UEFA's celebration across Europe kicks off June 11th in 2021 although the 24-team tournament will still be called Euro 2020.  Eleven cities (down from original 13) in 11 countries will host with 9 teams getting to host at least two group matches.  Thanks the UEFA Nations League, C4-North Macedonia (MKD) won a place in the tournament, its first (along with Finland).  Hosts were paired (if both qualified) in each group then drawn for order (1,2,3,4) so you'll see, for example, #37 Hungary leading Group F as F1.   Will playing at home, with fans mostly from their country (due to some inter-Europe travel restrictions), help elevate teams?  There is no overwhelming favorite so is this England's year (with a potential to play 6 of 7 matches in Wembley Stadium)?

FIFA Rankings - May 27, 2021B3-Belgium is the #1 team in the world while F3-France (#2), D1-England (#4), F2-Portugal (#5) (defending champs), E1-Spain (#6), A2-Italy (#7), and B1-Denmark (#10) are also in the top 10.  As you can infer, Group F is the group of death with France, Portugal, and Germany (have fallen to #12!).  Since there are just six groups, four of the six 3rd place teams will advance to the Knockout Stage so all three could make it but maybe #37 Hungary can surprise someone in that group.

So what has changed in our pool? 

Friday, May 21, 2021

We are the People

So there is a thing as official music artist of EURO 2020.  Hmmm.  Actually not a bad anthem which was created by DJ Martin Garrix and features Bono (yes, that Bono).  BTW, I do really like the Hans Zimmer anthem he composed for MLS as the teams walk and take the field.  Sounds great at Dignity Health Sports Park.

So 19 days left and the 2021 HWCI EURO Pool is mostly updated  now.  Or this is the 2021 HWCI EURO 2020 Pool.  I don't blame UEFA for not changing it to EURO 2021 (though one of their excuses about saving the environment since they already printed so much EURO 2020 stuff was humorou$).  Years from now, will it matter?  

Look for an email blast about Friday May 28 and I will be at the LA Galaxy match May 29 to hand out paper copies of the entry form (but you can enter now!).  Just remember teams will be able to carry 26 players (vs 23) but still so sign of the injured-Zlatan for Sweden.  And if there is a COVID hit on a team, the match could be rescheduled within 48 hours.

Thursday, March 11, 2021

UK Wants it All

Well, the Euros are happening and UEFA still plans to have it across 12 cities in Europe.  But potentially, England (or the UK with Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland in the mix) could be the sole host of the tournament when it kicks off June 11.  UEFA said thanks, but no thanks, but depending how new COVID-19 variants progress, things could change.  England was already hosting the "final four" anyway.


Thanks to the UEFA Nations League, we will get to a smaller nation in the tournament as North Macedonia qualified via the Path D playoff.  Finland will also be making their Euro debut.

Our 3rd HWCI EURO Pool (and 12th Soccer pool) will be this summer!

Tuesday, March 17, 2020

Now EURO 2021

Due to extreme precautions against the spread of the coronovirus disease (COVID-19) and the uncertainty of when (or if) it could be effectively contained or mitigated, Uefa announced it is postponing EURO 2020 (which was scheduled to kick off June 12) until 2021.  That means our 3rd HWCI Uefa EURO pool will have to wait until next year as well.  It is hard enough to plan this big of an event on its own, even harder doing so always looking over your shoulder wondering if the event would even happen so a good decision.  This not only presents a clean break from 2020 but it also would allow all the domestic club European leagues to complete their seasons when safe and not worry about butting heads against EURO 2020 or worry about international windows.

Twenty teams had already qualified with four more to be decided by qualification play-offs (based on finish in Nations League 2018-2019) which was to played in March before COVID-19 popped up.  This was also going to be the first EUROs played across all of Europe (in celebration of Uefa's 60th anniversary) rather than a host nation (or two).  The new dates are June 11-July 11, 2021.

Also, Copa America was postponed until 2021 as well.  Luckily, 2021 is the year we had no soccer pool so EURO 2021 will fit nicely in there.  We have the HWCI World Cup pool in 2022, HWCI Women's World Cup pool in 2023, and EUROs again in 2024.  With this postponement, it would allow me a stress-free way in the summer to reflect on our past 10 soccer pools (6 Men's World Cups, 2 Women's World Cups, 2 EUROs) so look for periodic blog updates here.  Stay safe!

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Post mortem

Euro 2016 Champions
    3F-Portugal (3-0-4)
A Seleção
1st Title

F2: Tied ISL 1-1
F4: Tied AUT 0-0
F6: Tied HUN 3-3
R16: Beat CRO 1-0 (aet)
QF: Tied POL 1-1 (Won PSO 5-3)
SF: Beat WAL 2-0
F: Beat FRA 1-0 (aet)

(Published 7/10/19) In the pool, Ford R's Rainman rose and won the pool eliminating Game of Two Halves.  Eric F's BigRedMessi2 finished 2nd, Michael W's Big Blue 3rd (winning tiebreaker), and Tuan L's The Eleven 4th.  

Winners (Tie = 5)…
Rainman
100
1st Place $120
BigRedMessi2
94
2nd Place $75
Big Blue
92
3rd Place $50 (Tie: 7.5, Diff = 2.5)
The Eleven
92
4th Place $25 (Tie: 9.0 Diff = 4.0)


Stats
:
   Goals: 108 (2.12/match) (3 OG, 8 PK, 9 90'+, 2 ET)... Scoring 1st (32-5-10, 4 0-0 ties): 16-WAL, 32-ESP, 40-IRL, 44-ENG, 46-BEL.... Lead at the Half (18-2-5, 26 ties (22 0-0)): 16-WAL, 40-IRL... Shutouts (34): 02-ALB, 05-TUR, 06-NIR, 07-UKR, 08-CZE, 10-BEL, 11-AUT, 15-ALB, 17-UKR, 18GER, 18-POL, 19-SWE, 21-TUR, 22- IRL, 24-POR, 24-AUT, 25-ROU, 26-SUI, 26-FRA, 27-RUS, 28-SVK, 28-ENG, 29-UKR, 30-NIR, 31-CZE, 35-ITA, 36-SWE, 38-NIR, 9-CRO, 41-SVK, 42-HUN, 43-ESP, 48-WAL, 50-GER, 51-FRA... PK (8/12): 01-ROU (G), 14-ROU (G), 20-CZE (G), 23-ISL (G), 24-POR (X), 32-ESP (X), 33-AUT (X), 40-IRL (G), 41-GER (X), 44-ENG (G), 47-ITA (G), 50-FRA (G)... ET (5): 37-SUIvPOL (0:0), 39-CROvPOR (0:1), 45-POLvPOR (0:0), 47-GERvITA (0:0), 51-PORvFRA (1:0)... PSO (3, 28/37): 37-SUIvPOL (4:5, 5.0), 45-PORvPOL (5:3, 4.5), 47-ITAvGER (5:6, 9.0).... Hat Tricks (0)... Red Cards (GF:GA) (3, 0:1): 02-ALB 36' (0:0), 11-AUT 66' (0:1), 40-IRL 66' (0:0).... Own Goals (3): 09-IRLtoSWE, 23-ISLtoHUN, 38-NIRtoWAL... All five teams making their first appearance finished 3rd or higher and four – Iceland, Northern Ireland, Slovakia and Wales – qualified for the round of 16 (Albania came up just short)... FRA's Antoine Griezmann won the Player of the Tournament and the Golden Boot (6 goals)... POR and SUI were the only teams not to officially lose (SUI lost in PSO)...

After Round Robin (36 matches):  Scoring 1st (23-2-7, 4 0-0 ties): 16-WAL, 32-ESP.... Lead at the Half (12-1-4, 19 ties): 16-WAL... Shutouts (26): 02-ALB, 05-TUR, 06-NIR, 07-UKR, 08-CZE, 10-BEL, 11-AUT, 15-ALB, 17-UKR, 18GER, 18-POL, 19-SWE, 21-TUR, 22- IRL, 24-POR, 24-AUT, 25-ROU, 26-SUI, 26-FRA, 27-RUS, 28-SVK, 28-ENG, 29-UKR, 30-NIR, 31-CZE, 35-ITA, 36-SWE... PK (4/7): 01-ROU (G), 14-ROU (G), 20-CZE (G), 23-ISL (G), 24-POR (X), 32-ESP (X), 33-AUT (X)... Hat Tricks (0)... Red Cards (GF/GA) (2, 0/1): 02-ALB 36' (0:0), 11-AUT 66' (0/1).... Own Goals (2): 09-IRLtoSWE, 23-ISLtoHUN... UKR was just the third team ever to not score a goal (TUR '96, DEN '00)... GER did not allow a goal, just the 3rd team to do so (GER '96, ITA '80)...

Final standings:

Rnk Team W-L-D PT GD GF-GA GRP
--- ---- ----- -- -- ----- ---
 1. POR  3-0-4 13 +4  9-5  3F 
 2. FRA  5-1-1 16 +8 13-5  1A
---
 3. WAL  4-2-0 12 +4 10-6  1B
 4. GER  3-1-2 11 +4  7-3  1C
---
 5. ITA  3-1-1 10 +4  6-2  1E
 6. BEL  3-2-0  9 +4  9-5  2E
 7. POL  2-0-3  9 +2  4-2  2C
 8. ISL  2-1-2  8 -1  8-9  2F
---
 9. CRO  2-1-1  7 +1  5-4  1D
10. ESP  2-2-0  6 +1  5-4  2D
11. SUI  1-0-3  6 +1  3-2  2A
12. ENG  1-1-2  5  0  4-4  2B
13. HUN  1-1-2  5 -2  6-8  1F
14. IRL  1-2-1  4 -3  3-6  3E
    SVK  1-2-1  4 -3  3-6  2B
16. NIR  1-3-0  3 -1  2-3  3C
---
17. TUR  1-2-0  3 -2  2-4  3D
18. ALB  1-2-0  3 -2  1-3  3A
19. ROM  0-2-1  1 -2  2-4  4A
20. SWE  0-2-1  1 -2  1-3  4E
21. CZE  0-2-1  1 -3  2-5  4D
22. AUT  0-2-1  1 -3  1-4  4F
23. RUS  0-2-1  1 -4  2-6  4B
24. UKR  0-3-0  0 -5  0-5  4C
         Tie: PT, GD, GF